TIMMING: WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
“50 to 60 mph wind gusts are expected Wednesday night into Thursday. On top of the heavy amounts of snow expected, this could be a potentially historic blizzard. Make plans now for Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.” -NWS Grand Forks, ND
ABOVE: Low depiction and main precipitation axis on Thursday morning. Southeastern parts of Manitoba is depicted to be in the accumulation area.
There is a sharp line between little precipitation and a lot of precipitation and that line is what is hard to forecast for. Right now, we are thinking anything southeast of Steinbach, MB could see between 15-25cm of snow or even less depending on Low track. Winnipeg should see trace amounts on Thursday.
I-29 in North Dakota: HIGHLY LIKELY
Hwy 75 in Manitoba: LIKELY AT PEMBINA
Hwy 12 in Manitoba: HIGHLY LIKELY
Trans-Canada east of Winnipeg: POSSIBLE
“This system will bring a combination of rain, mixed precipitation, and snow to the region. The greatest snowfall amounts, 6 to 12 inches and possibly greater, are expected along a Valley City to Grand Forks to Thief River Falls corridor. More liquid precipitation, 1 to 2 inches, is expected across the far southern Red River Valley into adjacent areas of west central Minnesota. However, those areas could also get a few inches of snowfall as well.” -NWS Grand Forks, ND
Below are the current blizzard warnings (in red) and winter storm watches (in blue) in he USA. There are currently no statements/watches/warnings for Manitoba.
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM CDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches and ice accumulations of up to three tenths of an inch expected. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central and northeast South Dakota. * WHEN...From 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM CDT Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches.