Welcome to our site!! This post outlines some simple rules about our forecast challenge. For specific post examples about our "your forecast" and "forecast verification" posts, go to those sections directly. We require of every participant to be respectful. Comments about forecasts are encouraged, but must be done in a respectful manner.
What is the forecast challenge?
We created this forum to challenge everyone to test their forecasting knowledge as well as learn forecasting techniques. The purpose is to encourage users to interact and learn how to forecast or to perfect your forecasting technique if you already know how to forecast.
Who is eligible?
Any users can join, you just have to create a free account on our site. You must have an updated profile on our site with an updated shipping address and current email.
New to forecasting? No problem, check out our forecasting tutorials here:
How it works
You must post your forecast a minimum of 24hrs prior to the event to be included in the challenge for that day. For example, if you are forecasting for May 24th, your forecast needs to be posted with final edits no later than May 22nd at 11:59 pm CDT. You will accumulate points and be ranked (updated daily) based on your current standings within the challenge. Forecasts will be limited to North America (Canada and USA). Your forecast must be reasonably precise (ie you cannot select half the country as your forecast). This will be at the discretion of the admins, but generally, a 2-3 state/province spatial limit will be enforced.
You can earn points by how accurate your forecast was compared to the official forecast verification (which will be posted once available). The forecast challenge "winners" for each challenge will be posted with the forecast verification post. You will know your standing within the challenge according to your badge attached to your profile.
How do I post my forecast?
If a forum thread has not been created for the forecast you wish to create, simply create one in the "your forecast" section. If a forum thread has already been created for the specific forecast event/day you wish to post a forecast, then simply comment or add your post to that thread. Admins will move your post to specific thread if you are confused about this at first. This is to prevent overcrowding of the main page.
Which posts are accepted?
Example posts are now posted in each section. You must post at least one forecast to a specific event to be eligible for each challenge. You can edit your forecast up to 24hrs prior to the event. Any user that are caught posting other people's forecasts and posing it as their own will be automatically removed from the challenge. You can post other people's forecast in your discussion to support your own, but you must properly reference that forecast. Your forecast graphic must be your own as well as your discussion about your "target area" or "expected hazards".
Forecast verification "points" breakdown
For severe weather: if forecasted for tornadoes, at least 1 tornado was reported (1 point); if forecasted for hail, at least 1 large hail report (1 point); if forecasted for damaging winds, at least 1 damaging winds report (1 point).
Bonus points: 1 point added for each tornado reported in your target area.
Bonus points: forecast tornadoes 5 days in advance (25 points per tornado).
For winter hazards: if forecasted for winter storm, at least 1 winter storm warning issued (1 point); if forecasted for blizzard, at least 1 blizzard warning issued (1 point); if forecasted heavy snowfall, at least 1 snowfall warning issued or heavy snowfall report (+/- 5cm what you forecasted) (1 to 2 points).
Bonus points: 1 point added for each blizzard warnings issued for your forecast area (by county). For example, if 4 blizzard warnings are within your forecast area, then you get 4 points.
Bonus points: forecast a blizzard warning 7 days in advance (30 points).
All other categories outside of the ones mentioned above will be assessed on a "per case" basis. Multiple points may be earned. For example, if your forecast area mentions tornadoes, and 10 tornadoes are reported/confirmed within it, you will earn 10 points. To forecast a tornado 5 days in advance, you most post your "target area" in "your forecast" 5 days prior the event and make no edits. The reported/confirmed tornadoes must fall within your target area.
What do I win?
To make this challenge more interesting, we will be offering three different prizes to the winners of our forecast challenges. The current prizes are:
1st Place - AccuRite Pro 5-in-1 wireless weather station ($180 CAD value) + free access to our "digital wallpapers" tab on our website. Social media exposure (for your business or website for one month);
2nd Place - HOLDPEAK 866D hand anemometer ($43 CAD value) + access to our "digital wallpapers" tab on our website + social media exposure (for your business or website for one day);
3rd Place - Free 2020 calendar of your choice + free access to our "digital wallpapers" tab on our website. Social media exposure (for your business or website for one day).
These prizes may be updated without notice.
When does this end?
This contest will run up to January 2020, which is when the new 2020 contest will start. The official date for the end of this contest will be announced later. We would like to make this challenge a yearly occurrence.
Users that plagiarize other people's forecasts will be removed from the challenge. If you own a social media platform, you may use your posted graphics and forecasts using copy/paste with proper reference, as long as they were created by yourself. By contributing to this forum, you are allowing NZP Chasers to share your content on our social media platform with credit. NZP Chasers will not download, modify or improperly represent your contributed content across all platforms and does not own the content you post on their website. Therefore, you retain all rights to your posted content.